How our projections actually perform — every number below is graded against real race results, using only data available before each race. No hindsight, nothing hand-picked.
When we say a driver has an X% chance to finish in the points (top 10), how often does it actually happen? Close to the diagonal = trustworthy probabilities.
| We projected | Actually hit | Sample |
|---|
| Grade | Calls | Hit rate |
|---|